Why 90% of Businesses Fail—And How CedisPay Uses the Physics of Progress to Succeed

Most businesses don’t fail because of bad products or poor marketing. They fail because they can’t solve new problems systematically. At CedisPay, we believe success is a science—not luck, not motivation, but a repeatable process based on testing, learning, and iterating. This approach, inspired by Eric Ries’ Lean Startup methodology and Tom Bilyeu’s “Physics of Progress” framework, has helped us grow CedisPay from an idea into a thriving fintech platform solving real financial challenges in Ghana.

The #1 Reason Businesses Fail: They Can’t Adapt
    Businesses that succeed don’t just launch great products—they build a problem-solving engine. Think about it:
  • Nokia had a great phone, but it failed to adapt to the smartphone revolution
  • Blockbuster had a working model, but it ignored shifting consumer behavior.
  • Kodak invented digital photography, but still got disrupted.
  • If you don’t have a system for solving new problems, you won’t last. At CedisPay, we use a six-phase process to continuously innovate, refine our products, and improve customer experience.
The Physics of Progress: A Proven Framework for Business Growth
  • Problem Analysis – Identifying the Real Bottleneck: Most businesses fail because they focus on symptoms, not root causes. Instead of assuming we know the problem, we use the "Five Whys" method (from The Lean Startup):
    • Why is customer adoption low? → Customers don’t understand the product
    • Why don’t they understand it? → The onboarding process is unclear
    • Why is the onboarding unclear? → There’s no guided tutorial
    💡 CedisPay Example: When adoption of our Budget App was slow, we didn’t assume it was a marketing issue—we dug deeper. The real problem? Users needed more guidance. Our solution? We launched educational content and step-by-step tutorials.
  • Hypothesis Formation – Asking “What Would It Take?”: Most entrepreneurs limit themselves by assuming something is impossible. Tom Bilyeu’s approach? Play a game called: "No BS—What Would It Take?" Instead of asking "Can we?" we ask, "What would it take to make this happen?"
    💡 CedisPay Example: When launching CedisCredit, we asked: What would it take to approve loans in under 5 minutes? What would it take to eliminate manual verification?
      Our answers led us to:
    • AI-powered credit scoring
    • Instant verification with Ghana’s National ID Authority
    • Seamless credit bureau integration
  • Outcome Prediction – Setting Clear Metrics for Success: Many businesses fail because they don’t set clear expectations. Instead of saying, “Let’s get more users”, we define specific KPIs before launching any initiative:
    • Budget App Sign-Ups → 100 per week
    • Loan Approvals → GHS 60,000 in pension-backed loans by Q2
    • Repayment Rate → Maintain 95% on-time repayment
      💡 CedisPay Example: Before launching social media campaigns, we set targets like:
    • 500 loan applications per week
    • 20% conversion rate
    • 50% open rate for marketing emails
    If you don’t define success beforehand, you’ll convince yourself that whatever happens was “expected.”
  • Solution Testing – Change One Variable at a Time: Most businesses try to fix everything at once—this is a mistake.
      💡 CedisPay Example: When we wanted to increase loan approvals without increasing risk, we didn’t overhaul everything. Instead, we:
    • Tested one variable at a time (e.g., adjusting loan limits for specific risk profiles).
    • Kept all other factors constant
    • Tracked detailed results before making further adjustments
    Lesson: If you change too many things at once, you’ll never know what actually worked.
  • Data Analysis – Interpreting Numbers Without Bias: Data is objective, but interpretation is subjective. Many businesses manipulate data to justify their decisions instead of using it to improve. At CedisPay, we ask: Are we using data to look good? Or to actually get better?
      💡 Example: If our repayment rates drop, we don’t just say, “People aren’t paying.” We ask:
    • Did we onboard riskier borrowers?
    • Is there a flaw in our repayment structure?
    • Are external economic factors at play?
    CedisPay Rule: Numbers don’t lie. We adjust based on what the data truly tells us.
  • Start Over, But Smarter – The Power of Iteration: Every cycle makes us smarter. Every failure feeds our prediction engine. Every test improves our accuracy.
      💡 At CedisPay, we never assume we’ve “figured it out.” Instead, we:
    • Analyze what worked and what didn’t
    • Refine our strategy based on real results
    • Repeat the cycle—getting smarter every time
      💡 Example: When we launched pension-backed loans, adoption was slow. Instead of quitting, we:
    • Added financial literacy webinars to educate customers
    • Improved the loan application process to make it easier
    • Reduced approval times from days to minutes
    The result? Higher adoption, better approvals, and more satisfied customers
Final Thoughts: Success Isn’t Luck—It’s a Process
    Most businesses fail because they rely on:
  • Motivation (which fades)
  • Luck (which isn’t predictable)
  • Copying others (which doesn’t work at scale)
  • At CedisPay, we follow the Physics of Progress
    If you’re an entrepreneur, ask yourself:
  • Are you solving the right problem?
  • Are you testing systematically?
  • Are you using data honestly?
  • Are you iterating and improving every cycle?
  • Success isn’t a one-time event—it’s a repeatable process.

Inspired by: 📖 The Lean Startup – Eric Ries. 🎤 The Physics of Progress – Tom Bilyeu. Are you applying these principles to your business or personal finance? Let’s discuss! 🚀💡 #CedisPay #PhysicsOfProgress #Entrepreneurship #Growth #FinancialSuccess

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